After last week’s bizarre events at the RNC, Donald Trump finds himself leading in the race for the White House in two new national polls released Monday, July 25. Going head-to-head, Trump’s 48% boasts Clinton’s 45% that also translates into a 6-point convention lead for Trump. The bump is considered a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000.
At this rate if the vote were held today, we would potentially see Trump as our next president. A future amid controversy over his wife, Melania Trump’s, speech, jabs at the other nominees, and announcing Indiana governor Mike Pence as his running mate at last week’s RNC.
Even statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight thinks it’s not farfetched for Trump to win after releasing his Now-cast poll, which has Trump leading Clinton head-to-head by nearly 10% and has Trump winning significant swing states.
Don't think people are really grasping how plausible it is that Trump could become president. It's a close election right now.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 23, 2016
TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today. https://t.co/djsqNajFrh pic.twitter.com/7DvrdieHOw— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 25, 2016
The thought of Trump and his hair being in office next year is already seeming like a vivid image but the coverage he’s posed has been to his benefit, while Clinton has been plagued by issues with her camp through recent months. Although Trump’s lead is fascinating, many have Clinton polls that still forecast her as coming out on top in the long run, but the shift could change immediately. With this week’s DNC in progress, the same bump that Trump got might just wave out over to Clinton in next week’s polls.